Forecast item at escalate outside band

Aaron Ito

Supply Chain · Demand Planning · SC1B Demand Signal Response

$91k

value

86%

confidence

people affected

2h 48m

age

2h 24m

sla

100%

progress

Currently held by

Promotion Lift Agent

An agent owns the next move

Raised by

Naomi Brennan

Requester of record

At station

Escalate outside band

Policy layer · station 4 of 4

Where this train is on the line

SC1BDemand Signal ResponseTransactional · 4 stations

Detect deviation

1 q

Diagnose

24 q

Adjust within band

4 q

Escalate outside band

1 live

Evidence trail

Every station this unit has passed, who acted, and what they left behind

Auditor pack

This is the readable trail. more

Cleared detect deviation
-168m
Statistical Forecast Agent
Spine control pack posted, three-way evidence attached
Cleared diagnose
-126m
Promotion Lift Agent
Inputs, rule version and output hash written to the evidence log
Cleared adjust within band
-84m
Statistical Forecast Agent
Spine control pack posted, three-way evidence attached
Holding at escalate outside band
-42m
Director, Demand Planning
Inputs, rule version and output hash written to the evidence log

What happens next

The next station and its rule

This is the last station. more

Why the signal is what it is

Derived from time against commitment, not from the state

Amber. Either this item is at or past the time it was committed to and is not material enough to escalate, or it is inside the time but has burned three quarters of it while carrying high or critical materiality. Amber says nothing about who holds it: an item can be amber and moving normally through an agent.

clock 2h 48m against a commitment of 2h 24m · 117% of the time used

materiality medium · blast radius 6 records or people downstream

state auto-cleared — held separately, and deliberately not part of this reading

Past SLA by 24m · 6 people or records downstream of this decision