LensReading which lens this session carries.
Sales/Opportunity Management

Sub-function

Opportunity Management

Owns opportunity work end to end inside Sales. Runs 3 lines across 20 stations, drains the repeatable share into no shared tower, and holds 4 human gates.

orchestrator Opportunity Orchestratorhuman owner VP Sales Operationsno shared tower — judgment density too high

Estate rating

BBB

70 / 100

autonomy 67%cap 70%

Hygiene, risk detection and counter-move drafting are agentic. Stage advancement and commit remain seller assertions because forecast integrity depends on human accountability.

Agents

9

Lines

3

Units / wk

4,027

Timetable vs actual

18.5h → 19.0h

Cost / unit

$13

was $40

Run-rate saving

$5.5M

annualized at this volume

The 9 agents running this sub-function

Grouped by what they are for, not by where they sit. The agent org is process-shaped.

OrchestratorOwns the queue and arbitrates between desks.

Opportunity Orchestrator

Owns the opportunity management lane end to end. Sequences the other agents, holds the timetable, and decides what surfaces to a human.

ObserveA244 / 24h88%8% ovr$8.50/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates to VP Sales Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.

TaskExecutes stations on a line.

Stage Hygiene Agent

Executes the opportunity management step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.

WorkflowA23,402 / 24h97%3% ovr$0.09/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates to VP Sales Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.

Next-Best-Action Agent

Executes the opportunity management step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.

WorkflowA21,745 / 24h94%6% ovr$0.44/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates to VP Sales Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.

Qualification Coverage Agent

Executes the opportunity management step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.

WorkflowA23,763 / 24h89%5% ovr$0.33/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates to VP Sales Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.

Close Plan Agent

Executes the opportunity management step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.

WorkflowA21,503 / 24h94%5% ovr$0.39/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates to VP Sales Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.

ObserveWatches signals and watches the agents.

Risk Detection Agent

Watches opportunity management continuously. Detects drift, quantifies it, and routes what matters without waiting for a reporting cycle.

ObserveA2178 / 24h93%16% ovr$8.33/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates to VP Sales Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.

StrategyForms and defends a position.

Competitive Counter Agent

Authors positions on opportunity management. Frames the question, models the options, and writes a recommendation a human can ratify or reject.

StrategyA2121 / 24h89%7% ovr$9.80/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates when two options sit inside the confidence band and the evidence cannot separate them.

Win Doctrine Agent

Authors positions on opportunity management. Frames the question, models the options, and writes a recommendation a human can ratify or reject.

StrategyA293 / 24h87%12% ovr$9.38/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates when two options sit inside the confidence band and the evidence cannot separate them.

ChallengerPaid to disagree before a human has to.

Opportunity Management Challenger Agent

Adversarial reviewer for opportunity management. Argues the opposite case on every position and flags where the evidence does not carry the claim.

StrategyA2189 / 24h87%17% ovr$7.51/task

ceiling A2 · escalates to Escalates when a ratified position is still running against a break condition it flagged.

Estate rating breakdown

Seven control dimensions. Judgment readiness runs against autonomy on purpose.

Control Coverage68
Evidence Quality70
Override Discipline78
Data Integrity72
Recovery Readiness68
Cost Transparency80
Judgment Readiness58

People

What the humans stopped doing, and what they do now.

headcount on this work27.519.4 FTE

Redeployed into cross-function process redesign.

inference cost per unit$3.24

Lines running in this sub-function

Each line is a workflow. Click a line to walk it station by station.

8 clear2 evidenced3 held
SL4AOpportunity LifecycleTransactional · 8 stations

Create

2 live

Qualify

32 q

Validate

1 live

Build close plan

1 live

Detect risk

2 live

Advance

1 live

Commit

8 q

Close

20 q

SL4BDeal Risk InterventionTransactional · 5 stations

Detect signal

31 q

Diagnose

3 live

Draft counter-move

36 q

Seller review

1 live

Track

1 live

SL4CWin/Loss Doctrine RefreshJudgment · 7 stations

Frame

37 q

Mine closed deals

1 live

Model patterns

25 q

Draft doctrine

30 q

Challenge

29 q

Ratify

0 q

Publish

34 q

Strategy positions this sub-function holds

An agent that only executes is a robot. These are the calls it made, the argument against each one, and what would prove it wrong.

SL4-POS-100

Win/Loss Doctrine Refresh

In challengev2

Should opportunity work stay in the shared transaction spine, or come back inside the function where the context lives?

Hold the ceiling at A2 for opportunity management. Hygiene, risk detection and counter-move drafting are agentic. Stage advancement and commit remain seller assertions because forecast integrity depends on human accountability. Raise it only after two consecutive quarters where the override rate stays under five percent and every override has a written cause.

confidence

66%

The challenge — Opportunity Management Challenger Agent

Opportunity Management Challenger Agent argues the recommendation leans on 3 quarters of data from a period with no volume shock. The confidence band overlaps the alternative, and the position does not say what it would take to be wrong. Recorded as a dissent, not a block.

Break conditions

  • ·Override rate rises above 10 percent for two consecutive months
  • ·Cost per opportunity stops falling while volume keeps rising
  • ·A control failure in this lane reaches a customer or a regulator

Evidence gaps

  • ·No independent test of the control evidence behind the touchless rate
Alternative consideredCostRiskVerdict
Hold the current position$455k run rateKnown and priced. Cedes ground if comparators move faster.live
Raise the ceiling one level now$1611k to build controlsOverride rate is 8 percent; raising the ceiling before that settles imports the error into production.rejected on evidence
Move the exception tail to the spine$618k transitionLoses local context. Rework risk on the cases that are hardest to recover.under review
authored by Competitive Counter Agentratifier VP Sales Operations3 stated assumptions
SL4-POS-101

Opportunity Management Operating Position

Ratifiedv3

What operating shape carries twice the current opportunity volume without adding headcount, and what breaks first if we are wrong?

Keep the repeatable opportunity volume in the spine and pull the exception tail back into the function. The spine is cheaper per unit; the tail is where the context that prevents rework actually sits.

confidence

63%

The challenge — Opportunity Management Challenger Agent

Opportunity Management Challenger Agent argues the recommendation leans on 4 quarters of data from a period with no volume shock. The confidence band overlaps the alternative, and the position does not say what it would take to be wrong. Recorded as a dissent, not a block.

Break conditions

  • ·Override rate rises above 15 percent for two consecutive months
  • ·Cost per opportunity stops falling while volume keeps rising
  • ·A comparator publishes a materially lower unit cost on a like-for-like basis

Evidence gaps

  • ·No external comparator on a like-for-like unit definition
  • ·Exception cases under $15k are sampled, not fully measured
Alternative consideredCostRiskVerdict
Hold the current position$634k run rateKnown and priced. Cedes ground if comparators move faster.not selected
Raise the ceiling one level now$875k to build controlsOverride rate is 8 percent; raising the ceiling before that settles imports the error into production.rejected on evidence
Move the exception tail to the spine$1120k transitionLoses local context. Rework risk on the cases that are hardest to recover.selected
authored by Competitive Counter Agentratifier VP Sales Operations3 stated assumptions
outcome held

Ratified 2 months ago. Measured since: cost per opportunity fell 31 percent against a forecast of 25 percent.

Policy register

The rules the agents above are bound by. Version, owner, approver, and the agents each rule constrains.

RefRuleScopeOwner agentApproved byVersionStatus
SL4-POL-200

Opportunity Management Decision Envelope

Agents in this lane may act without a human when the opportunity sits inside the stated value, risk and confidence envelope. Outside it, the unit holds at a gate with a named approver and a running clock.

binds 4 agents · APAC

envelopeOpportunity OrchestratorVP Sales Operationsv2.2Superseded
SL4-POL-201

Opportunity Management Evidence Standard

Every autonomous decision writes inputs, the rule version applied, the model and prompt version, the output and a reversal path. An action with no evidence record is treated as a control failure, not a fast decision.

binds 4 agents · EU · UK · US

evidenceOpportunity OrchestratorVP Sales Operationsv1.7Superseded