End-to-end outcomes · one chain
OI-ITS-0005 — Concept to shelf
One concept followed from a formula change is proposed to the first production order is released against it, across every function and tower it touched. more
State
Closed
Every stage of the service was found and the last one finished inside the sampled week.
Chain cycle
6.7 d
Wall clock, first stage start to last stage end
Of which waiting
4.1 d
62% of the chain was queue, not work
Cost to serve
$7.60
0 touches over 5 stages
A person intervened
0×
No stage on this chain needed a person
Match confidence
0.60
Cohort
What this chain is, and how sure we are it is one chain
Identity, counterparty and the correlation key
The unit
No counterparty recorded
United States · North America · EUR
Started Mon, Aug 10, 04:13, ended Sun, Aug 16, 20:02.
How the stages were joined
Cohort · 0.60
The chain crosses a boundary and no usable party join exists on either side. more
A chain is only as sure as its weakest join, so the figure above is the minimum across the 4 joins below, not their average.
How much of the service ran
5 / 5
3 functions · 2 towers
Every stage the service defines was found for this unit.
The chain, stage by stage
5 stages · 4.1 d waiting · 2.5 d in work
01Formula proposed
CG-C2L-015564Formula changeelnR&DC2L
The chain starts here. more
In work
15.4 h
Touches
0
Handling
touchless
Join
Origin
On the document
$0
Handoff wait before this stage: 30.3 h — nothing was being done to the concept for that time.
02Pack specified
CG-C2L-015045Packaging specificationplmR&DC2L
At least one side of this step records no party at all, so there is nothing to join on beyond place and timing. more
In work
23.0 h
Touches
0
Handling
touchless
Join
Cohort 0.62
On the document
$0
Handoff wait before this stage: 27.9 h — nothing was being done to the concept for that time.
03Artwork approved
CG-C2L-015214Artwork approvalplmMarketingC2L
Both documents live in plm, so the system reference carries across and the link is keyed.
In work
3.2 h
Touches
0
Handling
touchless
Join
Keyed 1.00
On the document
$0
Handoff wait before this stage: 27.8 h — nothing was being done to the concept for that time.
04Launch gated
CG-C2L-015123Launch gateplmR&DC2L
Both documents live in plm, so the system reference carries across and the link is keyed.
In work
18.3 h
Touches
0
Handling
touchless
Join
Keyed 1.00
On the document
$12,024
Handoff wait before this stage: 13.1 h — nothing was being done to the concept for that time.
05First build released
CG-M2D-010780Production ordererp-mmSupply ChainM2D
At least one side of this step records no party at all, so there is nothing to join on beyond place and timing. more
In work
49 min
Touches
0
Handling
touchless
Join
Cohort 0.60
On the document
$3,048
The amounts in the right-hand column are what each document carried, and they are deliberately not added up — the same money is written down once at each of the 5 stages this concept passed through. This service counts value once, at first build released, which puts $3,048 against this chain.
Where a person intervened
0 of 5 stages were not touchless
No stage on this chain was handled by a person — every one ran touchless. That is unusual for concept to shelf: across its complete chains the median is 0 stages with a person in it.
What the time and the money went on
The chain decomposed
Waiting
4.1 d
62% of elapsed time
In work
2.5 d
38% of elapsed time
Waiting and work are an exhaustive split of the 6.7 d this chain took — every hour is in one bucket or the other. The longest single wait was 30.3 h before pack specified.
Cost to serve, $7.60
0 touches at 11 minutes of loaded time each$0.00
5 stages of inference and system cost$7.60
Cost to serve is modeled from the touches the ledger recorded, not billed from a timesheet. more
No stage on this chain raised an exception.
The same chain for the whole week, as a distribution
2 complete concept to shelf chains, 10–16 August 2026
this chain sits at the 50th percentile
1
1
6.7 dten equal bands of chain cycle time6.8 d
Median chain
6.7 d
p25 6.7 d · p75 6.8 d
Slowest tenth
6.8 d
worst seen 6.8 d
Median waiting
4.7 d
70% of the median chain is queue
Median cost
$7.60
p90 $7.60
The mean of 6.7 d sits on the median of 6.7 d, which is why the distribution is drawn rather than reported as an average: the gap between the median and the slowest tenth is 1.6 h, and it is that tail, not the average, that customers of this service actually feel. The commitment is 1,008 hours; no chain started early enough in a one-week window to be judged against it.
The ledger behind these chains is one week, 10 to 16 August 2026, which is 168 hours. A chain that had not finished when the week ended is open, not late: the week simply stopped watching it. A chain whose commitment falls after the end of the week could never have been seen to miss, so its service level reads not measurable rather than holding. Nothing on these pages should be read as a monthly or annual attainment. This chain both started and finished inside that week, so its cycle time is a measurement.