Sub-function
Resilience & Risk
Owns risk event work end to end inside Supply Chain. Runs 3 lines across 18 stations, drains the repeatable share into no shared tower, and holds 4 human gates.
Estate rating
BBB
71 / 100
Sensing and exposure mapping are continuous and agentic. Activating a disruption playbook commits cost and capacity, so a named leader triggers it.
Agents
8
Lines
3
Units / wk
10,925
Timetable vs actual
9.9h → 11.9h
Cost / unit
$15
was $38
Run-rate saving
$13.4M
annualized at this volume
The 8 agents running this sub-function
Grouped by what they are for, not by where they sit. The agent org is process-shaped.
Supply Resilience Orchestrator
Owns the resilience & risk lane end to end. Sequences the other agents, holds the timetable, and decides what surfaces to a human.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates to Director, Supply Resilience when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Disruption Sensing Agent
Watches resilience & risk continuously. Detects drift, quantifies it, and routes what matters without waiting for a reporting cycle.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates to Director, Supply Resilience when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Multi-tier Mapping Agent
Executes the resilience & risk step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates to Director, Supply Resilience when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Single-source Risk Agent
Executes the resilience & risk step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates to Director, Supply Resilience when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Playbook Activation Agent
Executes the resilience & risk step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates to Director, Supply Resilience when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Recovery Coordination Agent
Executes the resilience & risk step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates to Director, Supply Resilience when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Resilience Posture Agent
Authors positions on resilience & risk. Frames the question, models the options, and writes a recommendation a human can ratify or reject.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates when two options sit inside the confidence band and the evidence cannot separate them.
Resilience & Risk Challenger Agent
Adversarial reviewer for resilience & risk. Argues the opposite case on every position and flags where the evidence does not carry the claim.
ceiling A3 · escalates to Escalates when a ratified position is still running against a break condition it flagged.
Estate rating breakdown
Seven control dimensions. Judgment readiness runs against autonomy on purpose.
People
What the humans stopped doing, and what they do now.
Redeployed into data stewardship and evidence quality.
Lines running in this sub-function
Each line is a workflow. Click a line to walk it station by station.
Strategy positions this sub-function holds
An agent that only executes is a robot. These are the calls it made, the argument against each one, and what would prove it wrong.
Resilience Posture Position
Rejectedv2What operating shape carries twice the current risk event volume without adding headcount, and what breaks first if we are wrong?
Hold the ceiling at A3 for resilience & risk. Sensing and exposure mapping are continuous and agentic. Activating a disruption playbook commits cost and capacity, so a named leader triggers it. Raise it only after two consecutive quarters where the override rate stays under five percent and every override has a written cause.
confidence
81%
The challenge — Resilience & Risk Challenger Agent
Resilience & Risk Challenger Agent argues the recommendation leans on 4 quarters of data from a period with no volume shock. The confidence band overlaps the alternative, and the position does not say what it would take to be wrong. Recorded as a dissent, not a block.
Break conditions
- ·Override rate rises above 12 percent for two consecutive months
- ·Cost per risk event stops falling while volume keeps rising
- ·A control failure in this lane reaches a customer or a regulator
Evidence gaps
- ·No external comparator on a like-for-like unit definition
- ·Exception cases under $54k are sampled, not fully measured
| Alternative considered | Cost | Risk | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hold the current position | $233k run rate | Known and priced. Cedes ground if comparators move faster. | live |
| Raise the ceiling one level now | $897k to build controls | Override rate is 11 percent; raising the ceiling before that settles imports the error into production. | rejected on evidence |
| Move the exception tail to the spine | $819k transition | Loses local context. Rework risk on the cases that are hardest to recover. | under review |
Resilience & Risk Operating Position
In challengev1Is the current cost per risk event defensible against external comparators once inference spend is counted in full?
Keep the repeatable risk event volume in the spine and pull the exception tail back into the function. The spine is cheaper per unit; the tail is where the context that prevents rework actually sits.
confidence
60%
The challenge — Resilience & Risk Challenger Agent
Resilience & Risk Challenger Agent argues the recommendation leans on 4 quarters of data from a period with no volume shock. The confidence band overlaps the alternative, and the position does not say what it would take to be wrong. Recorded as a dissent, not a block.
Break conditions
- ·Override rate rises above 9 percent for two consecutive months
- ·Cost per risk event stops falling while volume keeps rising
- ·A comparator publishes a materially lower unit cost on a like-for-like basis
Evidence gaps
- ·No independent test of the control evidence behind the touchless rate
| Alternative considered | Cost | Risk | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hold the current position | $66k run rate | Known and priced. Cedes ground if comparators move faster. | live |
| Raise the ceiling one level now | $1426k to build controls | Override rate is 13 percent; raising the ceiling before that settles imports the error into production. | rejected on evidence |
| Move the exception tail to the spine | $618k transition | Loses local context. Rework risk on the cases that are hardest to recover. | under review |
Policy register
The rules the agents above are bound by. Version, owner, approver, and the agents each rule constrains.
| Ref | Rule | Scope | Owner agent | Approved by | Version | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC11-POL-200 | Resilience & Risk Decision Envelope Agents in this lane may act without a human when the risk event sits inside the stated value, risk and confidence envelope. Outside it, the unit holds at a gate with a named approver and a running clock. binds 4 agents · LATAM · US | envelope | Supply Resilience Orchestrator | Director, Supply Resilience | v3.7 | Active |
| SC11-POL-201 | Resilience & Risk Evidence Standard Every autonomous decision writes inputs, the rule version applied, the model and prompt version, the output and a reversal path. An action with no evidence record is treated as a control failure, not a fast decision. binds 4 agents · EU · UK | evidence | Supply Resilience Orchestrator | Director, Supply Resilience | v1.2 | Active |
| SC11-POL-202 | Resilience & Risk Escalation Rule Escalation is mandatory when confidence falls below the floor, when two options sit inside the confidence band, or when a break condition on a ratified position fires. Director, Supply Resilience owns the response clock. binds 4 agents · EU · UK | escalation | Supply Resilience Orchestrator | Director, Supply Resilience | v4.0 | Active |