Sub-function
Forecast Integrity
Owns submission work end to end inside Revenue Operations. Runs 3 lines across 13 stations, drains the repeatable share into the P2P tower, and holds 2 human gates.
Estate rating
A
77 / 100
Scoring and pattern detection are fully agentic and deliberately published. The platform does not accuse anyone; it shows the variance and lets a leader interpret it.
Agents
8
Lines
3
Units / wk
186
Timetable vs actual
4.5d → 4.8d
Cost / unit
$368
was $1K
Run-rate saving
$7.7M
annualized at this volume
The 8 agents running this sub-function
Grouped by what they are for, not by where they sit. The agent org is process-shaped.
Forecast Integrity Orchestrator
Owns the forecast integrity lane end to end. Sequences the other agents, holds the timetable, and decides what surfaces to a human.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates to VP Revenue Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Submission Compliance Agent
Runs the repeatable portion of forecast integrity inside the shared transaction spine at spine cost and spine controls.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates to VP Revenue Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Optimism Bias Agent
Runs the repeatable portion of forecast integrity inside the shared transaction spine at spine cost and spine controls.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates to VP Revenue Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Model vs Commit Agent
Executes the forecast integrity step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates to VP Revenue Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Historical Accuracy Agent
Executes the forecast integrity step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates to VP Revenue Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Coverage Ratio Agent
Executes the forecast integrity step it owns, posts its evidence, and hands the unit to the next stage.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates to VP Revenue Operations when the unit falls outside the decision envelope or confidence drops below the floor.
Integrity Policy Agent
Holds the rules that bind every other agent in forecast integrity. Versions them, tests them against live decisions, and blocks work that breaches them.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates on any decision that would breach a live policy version, with the clause cited.
Forecast Integrity Challenger Agent
Adversarial reviewer for forecast integrity. Argues the opposite case on every position and flags where the evidence does not carry the claim.
ceiling A4 · escalates to Escalates when a ratified position is still running against a break condition it flagged.
Estate rating breakdown
Seven control dimensions. Judgment readiness runs against autonomy on purpose.
People
What the humans stopped doing, and what they do now.
Roles held flat; released hours absorbed volume growth rather than headcount reduction.
Lines running in this sub-function
Each line is a workflow. Click a line to walk it station by station.
Strategy positions this sub-function holds
An agent that only executes is a robot. These are the calls it made, the argument against each one, and what would prove it wrong.
Forecast Integrity Operating Position
Draftv3Should submission work stay in the shared transaction spine, or come back inside the function where the context lives?
Hold the ceiling at A4 for forecast integrity. Scoring and pattern detection are fully agentic and deliberately published. The platform does not accuse anyone; it shows the variance and lets a leader interpret it. Raise it only after two consecutive quarters where the override rate stays under five percent and every override has a written cause.
confidence
83%
The challenge — Forecast Integrity Challenger Agent
Forecast Integrity Challenger Agent argues the recommendation leans on 4 quarters of data from a period with no volume shock. The confidence band overlaps the alternative, and the position does not say what it would take to be wrong. Recorded as a dissent, not a block.
Break conditions
- ·Override rate rises above 15 percent for two consecutive months
- ·Cost per submission stops falling while volume keeps rising
- ·A control failure in this lane reaches a customer or a regulator
Evidence gaps
- ·No external comparator on a like-for-like unit definition
- ·Exception cases under $59k are sampled, not fully measured
| Alternative considered | Cost | Risk | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hold the current position | $779k run rate | Known and priced. Cedes ground if comparators move faster. | live |
| Raise the ceiling one level now | $1453k to build controls | Override rate is 8 percent; raising the ceiling before that settles imports the error into production. | rejected on evidence |
| Move the exception tail to the spine | $821k transition | Loses local context. Rework risk on the cases that are hardest to recover. | under review |
Policy register
The rules the agents above are bound by. Version, owner, approver, and the agents each rule constrains.
| Ref | Rule | Scope | Owner agent | Approved by | Version | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RO9-POL-200 | Forecast Integrity Decision Envelope Agents in this lane may act without a human when the submission sits inside the stated value, risk and confidence envelope. Outside it, the unit holds at a gate with a named approver and a running clock. binds 5 agents · EU · UK | envelope | Integrity Policy Agent | VP Revenue Operations | v2.6 | Active |
| RO9-POL-201 | Forecast Integrity Evidence Standard Every autonomous decision writes inputs, the rule version applied, the model and prompt version, the output and a reversal path. An action with no evidence record is treated as a control failure, not a fast decision. binds 5 agents · EU · UK · US | evidence | Integrity Policy Agent | VP Revenue Operations | v2.4 | Active |
| RO9-POL-202 | Forecast Integrity Escalation Rule Escalation is mandatory when confidence falls below the floor, when two options sit inside the confidence band, or when a break condition on a ratified position fires. VP Revenue Operations owns the response clock. binds 5 agents · US · Canada | escalation | Integrity Policy Agent | VP Revenue Operations | v5.6 | Active |